Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.109946 0.136408 0.165386 0.199176 0.237205 0.278408 0.326150
2025-03-23 0.076523 0.111164 0.152741 0.205067 0.267955 0.339990 0.427629
2025-03-30 0.050372 0.087206 0.135892 0.201837 0.285899 0.386822 0.514515
2025-04-06 0.033411 0.070026 0.123447 0.200974 0.305050 0.435005 0.604681
2025-04-13 0.023123 0.059051 0.116729 0.205738 0.330542 0.491377 0.706577
2025-04-20 0.016313 0.051188 0.112631 0.212850 0.358703 0.551632 0.814908
2025-04-27 0.011256 0.044349 0.108496 0.218800 0.384864 0.609645 0.921648
2025-05-04 0.006861 0.036381 0.100507 0.217381 0.399728 0.652425 1.009196
2025-05-11 0.004374 0.031436 0.096742 0.221829 0.422761 0.706470 1.112374
2025-05-18 0.002321 0.025620 0.089695 0.219618 0.435115 0.745543 1.195931
2025-05-25 0.000795 0.018669 0.077939 0.207322 0.430560 0.759935 1.245715
2025-06-01 0.000315 0.015680 0.074411 0.209315 0.448206 0.806132 1.339508
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.011751 0.067068 0.203274 0.452791 0.834027 1.409565
2025-06-15 0.000008 0.010916 0.068335 0.214483 0.486423 0.905601 1.542090
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008703 0.064339 0.214250 0.500532 0.948247 1.634478
2025-06-29 NaN 0.006991 0.061138 0.215185 0.516462 0.993800 1.731573
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006041 0.060344 0.221267 0.541496 1.053609 1.849831
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005390 0.060477 0.229390 0.570303 1.119604 1.977706
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004695 0.060031 0.236036 0.596580 1.182061 2.101168
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003561 0.056503 0.234779 0.608262 1.221845 2.192062
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002976 0.055505 0.239596 0.631189 1.279556 2.309714
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002140 0.051946 0.237353 0.640667 1.316008 2.396457
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001130 0.044853 0.224454 0.629007 1.318172 2.432282